Session 6.3: Volcanic hazards: mapping, susceptibility and probability
Talks:
Posters:
Talks
Assessing long-term volcanic gas hazard through probabilistic approach: insights from case studies (Invited)
Silvia Massaro1,2
Tuesday, 14:15 - 14:30
Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment at Stromboli volcano (Italy)
Alessandro Tadini1, Mattia de' Michieli Vitturi1, Andrea Bevilacqua1, Emmie Bonilauri2, Andrew Harris2, Augusto Neri1, Raphaël Paris2, Tomaso Esposti Ongaro1, Matteo Cerminara1, Matteo Trolese1, Juan Francisco Rodriguez Gàlvez1, Marco Pistolesi3
Tuesday, 14:30 - 14:45
Monitoring long-term deformation of coastal volcanoes in Southeast Asia with Sentinel-1 InSAR
Edgar U. Zorn1,2 , Falk Amelung3, Francesco Massimetti4, Marco Laiolo4, Diego Coppola4, Yan Lavallée1, Thomas R. Walter2, Herlan Darmawan5
Tuesday, 14:45 - 15:00
Beyond the eruption: a holistic approach to understanding cascading hazards and risks at Stromboli.
Irene Manzella 1,2, Symeon Makris2,3, Daniele Casalbore4, Paul Cole2, Karim Kelfoun5, Aggeliki Georgiopoulou6, Anna Hicks3, Cees van Westen1
Tuesday, 15:00 - 15:15
Lava Flow Hazard Assessment for Flagstaff and Surrounding Areas in the San Francisco Volcanic Field (Arizona, U.S.A.)
Loÿc Vanderkluysen 1, Christina Liu1, Aurélie Germa2, Jacob Brauner1, Aleeza Wilkins3, Jean-François Smekens4, Laura Connor2, Charles B. Connor2
Tuesday, 15:45 - 16:00
Estimating proximal hazards in a distributed volcanic field
Michael H. Ort1, Charles B. Connor2,3, Laura J. Connor3, Mark S. Bebbington4, William R. Hackett5, Shannon E. Kobs Nawotniak6, Scott S. Hughes6, M. Elise Rumpf7
Tuesday, 16:00 - 16:15
Many Maps are Better Than One: A Random Forest Approach to Estimate Spatial Density in a Distributed Volcanic Field, Eastern Snake River Plain (ID) (Invited)
Chuck Connor 1, Matthew Connor2, Laura Connor2, Mark Bebbington3, Michael Ort4, Bill Hackett5, Suzette Payne6
Tuesday, 16:15 - 16:30
Posters
Searching for unrest patterns at central volcanoes exploiting monitoring data from 1980 to 1999
Sara Emili1, Manuel Verardi Nichi1, Laura Sandri2, Valerio Acocella1
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 49
Forecasting Future Eruptions using Hierarchical Trend Renewal Processes
Joel Carman1, Ting Wang 1, Mark Bebbington2, Shane Cronin3, Marco Brenna4, Ingrid Ukstins3
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 50
Temporal recurrence rate estimation in distributed volcanic fields
Mark Bebbington 1, William Hackett2, Scott Hughes3, Shannon Kobs Nawotniak3, Michael Ort4
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 51
Assessing lava flow hazards in distributed volcanic fields using a lava library: Example from the Eastern Snake River Plain volcanic field (Idaho, USA)
Laura Connor1, Chuck Connor2, Jacob A. Richardson3, Mark S. Bebbington4, Matthew B. Connor1, Mikel Diez5, William R. Hackett6, Scot S. Hughes7, Shannon E. Kobs Nawotniak7, Michael Ort8, and M. Elise Rumpf9
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 52
Probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment during quiescence: A scenario-based framework for Gede, West Java (Indonesia)
Eleanor Tennant 1, Susanna, F. Jenkins 1, Annie Winson 2, Christina Widiwijayanti 1, Heruningtyas D. Purnamasari 3, Nugraha Kartadinata 3, Wilfridus Banggur 4
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 53
Towards the probabilistic construction of eruptive scenarios of the El Chichón volcano (Mexico): advances in ash dispersion modeling.
Omar Cruz-Vázquez1, Lucia Capra2
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 54
Long-term probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment on islands: the case of tephra fallout at São Miguel airport (Azores archipelago)
Simone Aguiar1 , Laura Sandri2, Adriano Pimentel1, José Pacheco1
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 55
To what degree can we forecast volcanic ballistic projectile hazard?
Rebecca Fitzgerald 1,2, Mark Bebbington2, Stuart Mead2, Jon Procter2
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 56
Bringing Together Scientific and Community Knowledge to Improve Assessment of Lahar Impacts in St. Vincent
Rachel Clark1 , Jeremy Phillips1, Jenni Barclay1, Richard Robertson2.
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 57
Energy line approaches in a level set framework for probabilistic modelling of volcanic surges
Stuart Mead1, James Williams2, Josh Hayes3
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 58
A new insight into secondary volcanic hazards at Stromboli: the case of Gravity Induced Flows of 3rd July 2019 paroxysm by high resolution topographies from satellite data
Roberto Gianardi 1,2, Marina Bisson1, Claudia Spinetti3, Mattia De' Michieli Vitturi1, Monica Palaseanu-Lovejoy4
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 59
Impact of tsunamis generated by landslides at Stromboli on the entire Aeolian Island chain
Emmie M. Bonilauri1 , Catherine Aaron2, Andrew J.L. Harris1, Raphaël Paris1, Matteo Cerminara3, Tomaso Esposti Ongaro3, Domenico Mangione4
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 60
Insights into the Colli Albani caldera: current ground deformation and susceptibility to debris flows analysis
Lisa Beccaro 1, Marina Bisson2, Roberto Gianardi2, Laura Colini1, Alessandro Galvani1, Vincenzo Sepe1, Cristiano Tolomei,1 Claudia Spinetti1
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 61
Strain and fault evolution during gravitational volcano collapse: experiments with different substrata geometries
Julia Knüppel1, Sylvain Mayolle1, Matthias Rosenau2, and Morelia Urlaub1
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 62
Rapid detection of faults and fractures using drone magnetometry: Insights from the Grindavík hazard zone, Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland
Elisa Johanna Piispa 1, Catherine Rachel Gallagher1,2, Gunnlaugur Magnús Einarsson3, Sindri Bernholt1, Katrín Ásta Karlsdóttir3, Ögmundur Erlendsson3, Irma Gná Jóngeirsdóttir3, Alexandra Kristín Hafsteinsdóttir3, Birgir Vilhelm Óskarsson4, Rosemary Philippa Cole1, Hannah Iona Reynolds1, and Robert Alexander Askew1,4
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 63
Wildfire mapping triggered by volcanic activity: impact on Stromboli Island during the 2019 summer by using Remote Sensing Data
^^ Francesca Iacono^^ 1, Marina Bisson1, Claudia Spinetti2, Tom Kwasnitschka3
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 64
DispAtlas: A flexible tool for the automated construction of seasonal dispersal pathways and exposure of volcanic emissions
Alexandros Panagiotis Poulidis1, Nikos Daskalakis1, Maria Kanakidou1,2,3, Mihalis Vrekoussis1,4,5
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 65
Monitoring of carbon dioxide hazard in the inhabited areas of Puerto Naos and La Bombilla, La Palma, Canary Islands
Pedro Hernández1 ,2, Gladys V. Melián1,2, Antonio J. Alvárez Díaz3,4, María Asensio-Ramos1, Germán D. Padilla1,2, Daniel Di Nardo1, Daniela Taño Ramos3, Laura Trujillo Vargas3, Claudia Ramos Delgado3, Eleazar Padrón1,2, Alexis M. González Pérez3,5, Nemesio M. Pérez1,2
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 66
Long-term continuous monitoring of diffuse CO2 emission from the summit cone of Teide volcano, Canary Islands, Spain
Daniel D'Nardo1, Germán D. Padilla1,2, Eleazar Padrón 1,2, Nemesio M. Pérez1,2, Pedro A. Hernández1,2, Luca D'Auria1,2, Gladys Melián1,2
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 67
Outdoor CO2 hazard at Puerto Naos and La Bombilla (La Palma, Canary Islands): a numerical modelling approach.
Luca D'Auria1,2, Fabio Dioguardi3, María Asensio-Ramos1, Pedro A. Hernández1,2, Gladys Melián1,2, Germán Padilla1,2, Eleazar Padrón1,2, Nemesio M. Pérez1,2
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 68
ALERTACO2 Project: Update of an extensive monitoring network for monitor and mitigate the CO2 hazard of indoor and outdoor air CO2 at the inhabited areas of Puerto Naos and La Bombilla, La Palma (Canary Islands)
Germán D. Padilla 1,2 , Carmen López 3 , Nemesio M. Pérez 1,2 , Rubén López 3 , Pedro A. Hernández 1,2 , David Moure 4 , Luca D\'Auria 1,2 , Pedro Torres 4 , Gladys Melián 1,2 , Daniel D\'Nardo 1,2 , Carla Méndez 1 , Alexis M. González 5 , y Juan A. bermejo 6
Tuesday, 16:30 - 18:30 • 69
