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Session 6.7: Advances in volcanic hazard and risk assessments and the quantification of associated uncertainties

Talks:

Posters:


Talks

Are cities becoming increasingly threatened by volcanic hazards? (Invited)

Elinor Meredith1, Rui Xue Natalie Teng2, Susanna Jenkins2, Josh Hayes3, Sébastien Biass4, Eleanor Tennant2, Heather Handley^1,5 ^

Friday, 08:30 - 08:45

Probabilistic volcanic hazard and impact assessment of the Auckland Volcanic Field, Aotearoa New Zealand (Invited)

James H. Williams1 , Josh L. Hayes2, Thomas M. Wilson1, Graham S. Leonard2, Rebecca H. Fitzgerald2, Alana Weir3, Christina Magill2, Mark Bebbington4, Stuart Mead4, Jan Lindsay5, Heather Craig1, Zoë Bowbrick1, Bethany Millar1, Anna Talbot1

Friday, 08:45 - 09:00

Quantifying cascading impacts through road network analysis in an insular volcanic setting: the 2021 Tajogaite eruption of La Palma Island (Spain)

Lucia Dominguez1, Sébastien Biass1, Corine Frischknecht1, Alana Weir1, Maria Paz Reyes-Hardy1, Luigia Sara Di Maio1, Nemesio Pérez2,3, and Costanza Bonadonna1

Friday, 09:00 - 09:15

Forecasting tephra impacts during the 2024 unrest at Awu volcano, North Sulawesi, Indonesia

Eleanor Tennant 1, Susanna F. Jenkins 1, Christina Widiwijayanti 1, Heruningtyas D. Purnamasari 2

Friday, 09:15 - 09:30

Combining agricultural production sensitivity and farming practices paves the way for comprehensive volcanic risk analysis

Malherbe Sophie 1,2, Stark Fabien3,4, Jamoralin Suyin5,6, Talens Virginia7, Telenchana Edwin8, Vasconez Anaïs8, Delmelle Pierre1,2

Friday, 09:30 - 09:45

The complex and often contradictory realities of the red zone; three cases around Fuego Volcano, Guatemala.

Eliza S Calder1,Teresa Armijos1, Rudiger Escobar-Wolf2, Amilcar Roca3, Cristina Sala Valdes4, Ana Cabrera Pacheco1, and Roberto Merida3

Friday, 09:45 - 10:00


Posters

Fatalities associated with Pyroclastic Density Currents: Insights from an updated global dataset

Fathia Lutfiananda1, Eliza S. Calder1, Samantha L. Engwell2

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     91

Dispersion of SO2 during the 2021 Tajogaite eruption, la Palma and associated health-relevant population exposure assessment

David E. Jessop 1, Julia Eychenne1,2, Séverine Moune1, Raphaël Paris1, Agnès Borbon3, Rebecca Biagi4, Ben Esse5, Mike Burton5

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     93

How fit-for-purpose are volcanic physical vulnerability models at predicting impacts in diverse risk contexts?

Alana Weir 1, Lucia Dominguez1, Sebastien Biass1, Costanza Bonadonna1

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     95

Can we account for human displacement in volcanic risk analyses?

Sébastien Biass 1, Sylvain Ponserre 2, Maxime Souvignet 3

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     97

Volcanic Risk Ranking of the Southern Volcanic Zone of the Andes using open data

Luigia Sara Di Maio 1, María-Paz Reyes-Hardy1, Angie Stephania Ramirez Huerta1, Lucia Dominguez1, Corine Frischknecht1, Leticia Freitas Guimarães2, Amiel Nieto-Torres3, Manuela Elissondo4, Álvaro Amigo5, Sebastián García4, Pablo Forte6, and Costanza Bonadonna1

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     99

Te Awe Mapara, towards a National Volcano Hazard Model under climatic changes

Mark Bebbington 1, Graham Leonard2, on behalf of the research team

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     100

Assessing volcanic warning systems within a complex multi-hazard environment -- a case study from Samoa

Andrew Tupper1, 2, Afa'ese Luteru Tuvale3

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     102

Development of a pedestrian evacuation model and application to two active volcanoes in Indonesia

Mojan Marghoub Shadkar1, Sebastien Biass2, Susanna Jenkins3, Christina Widiwijayanti4, Heruningtyas Deși Purnamasari (Ibu Tyas)5, Nugraha Kartadinata (Pak Nugraha)5,Udrekh6

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     103

Volcanic Hazard Assessment of Paroxysms at Stromboli (Italy) with Uncertainty Quantification: Deposit-derived Pyroclastic Density Currents

Andrea Bevilacqua1 , Augusto Neri1, Alessio Di Roberto1, Federico Di Traglia2, Massimo Pompilio1, Antonella Bertagnini1, Lucas Corna1, Mattia de'Michieli Vitturi1, Zeno Geddo1, Alessandro Tadini1

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     104

Volcano mass-wasting and volcanic processes' risk assessment using Borromean Rings and Fuzzy Logic Systems

Modesto Eusebio Portilla Gamboa

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     105

Disruption to airport operations by volcanic ash fall

Geoffrey A. Lerner1, Natalie R.X. Teng1, Susanna F. Jenkins 1, David Lallemant1, Andrew Tupper2, Josh L. Hayes3, George T. Williams4, Mathis Joffrain5, John Wardman6, R. Marcela Lira-Beltrán^7 ^

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     107

How do we move closer to near real-time volcanic hazard and risk estimation?

Julie De Groote , Benoit Taisne, Susanna Jenkins

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     109

WITHDRAWN -Using the value chain approach in Samoa to assess and prioritise multi-hazard early warning system vulnerabilities

Andrew Tupper1, 2, Afa'ese Luteru Tuvale3

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     111

Mapped geologic features used to forecast long-term likelihood of future eruption locations: applications during an ongoing series of frequent, differing-impact eruptions on the Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland

Melissa Anne Pfeffer 1, Ásta Rut Hjartardóttir1, Sara Barsotti1, Bergrún Arna Óladóttir1, Bogi Brynjar Björnsson1, Gro B. M. Pedersen1

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     112

Assessing Tephra Mass Deposition on Roads for Effective Management of Volcanic Eruption Impacts: The Case of Mount Etna, Italy

Luigi Mereu 1,2, Manuel Stocchi1,3, Alexander Garcia1, Michele Prestifilippo4, Laura Sandri1, Costanza Bonadonna5 and Simone Scollo4

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     113

Assessing volcanic multi-hazard risk on the road network using the ADVISE methodology: the case of Vulcano Island, Italy

Angie Stephania Ramírez-Huerta 1, Sébastien Biass1, Corine Frischknecht1, Lucia Dominguez1, Marco Pistolesi2, Mauro Rosi2, Scira Menoni3, and Costanza Bonadonna1

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     115

Vulnerability of agriculture to tephra fall: A systematic review of research approaches

Hind Dib1; Sophie Malherbe1; Pierre Delmelle1

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     117

A new high-resolution hazard map for Villarrica volcano, Southern Chile: Methodology and Results

Franco Vera1 , Felipe Flores1, Laura Bono1

Friday, 16:30 - 18:00     •     119


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